Arbitrage Betting
Backing every possible outcome across different bookmakers so you lock in a profit no matter who wins.
Arbitrage betting, often nicknamed “arbing,” is a strategy where you place bets on every possible outcome of an event using different bookmakers, taking advantage of gaps in their odds to lock in a guaranteed profit. It works because each bookmaker sets its own lines independently, and short-lived discrepancies can create moments where the combined implied probabilities across books add up to less than 100%. When that happens, you can spread your stakes across all outcomes in exactly the right proportions and walk away with a positive return no matter which side wins.
The whole approach hinges on speed and precision. Odds gaps are usually small and don’t last long, so arbitrage bettors have to move fast before the lines correct. The profit on any single arb is typically modest, often somewhere between 1% and 5% of the total amount wagered. Still, because the return is essentially risk-free, many bettors see arbitrage as a dependable way to grow their profits steadily over time.
Example
A tennis match has Player A at +150 (decimal 2.50) at Bookmaker X and Player B at +110 (decimal 2.10) at Bookmaker Y. By staking $100 on Player A and $119.05 on Player B, your total outlay is $219.05. If Player A wins, you collect $250 (a profit of $30.95). If Player B wins, you again collect $250 (again, a profit of $30.95). Whatever the result, you pocket roughly $30.95, which works out to about a 14.1% return on your total stake. In reality, margins this big are rare, but the same principle applies to any qualifying odds gap.
Key Points
- Risk-free in theory: Done correctly, arbitrage guarantees a profit because every outcome is covered at favorable odds.
- Small margins: Most arbitrage opportunities return between 1% and 5% profit, so meaningful gains take significant capital or high volume.
- Account limitations: Bookmakers keep an eye out for arbitrage activity and may limit or close accounts that keep exploiting odds gaps.
- Requires multiple accounts: To find and place arbs, you need active accounts at many different sportsbooks, each with enough money on hand.
- Timing is critical: Odds can move within seconds. A slow execution on one leg of an arb can turn a sure thing into an exposed position.